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Bank of England Holds Base Rate At 5.25% While Swap Rates Fall Below 4%

Royal Exchange Bank of England London Picture

Base Rate Held At 5.25%

The Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee voted again today to hold the Base Rate at 5.25% for the third consecutive month amidst concerns that stubborn inflation remaining more than double the BoE’s 2% target is starting to affect the wider economy with fears of a protracted slump or recession

The decision to hold the UK Base Rate again aligns the UK with yesterday’s decision made by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).

GDP Flat For 3 Months

It was confirmed the economy shrank unexpectedly with gross domestic product (GDP) flat in the three months to October falling by 0.3% according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Concerns remain that the risk of a slowing economy may have an adverse effect on the jobs market into 2024 as the fear an economic slowdown could turn into a recession.  

UK GDP Graph From ONS Updated

NOTE - 5 & 10 Year Swap Rates Fall Below 4%

You can see from the Swap Rate tables below that there has been a significant reduction over the last two months from September to the present, which explains the recent positive adjustments lenders made last month to mortgage rates on offer. However, it also highlights the speed at which rates are moving and the fragility of a market that could impact either way depending upon the next steps taken by the Government and BoE.

December Swaps

Swap Rates 14th November 2023

September Swaps

Swap Rates 20 Sep 23

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